Crypto Tokens' Status as Securities or Commodities Is Key to SEC's Binance, Coinbase Suits: Bernstein

Whether cryptocurrency tokens are securities or commodities is at the heart of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s allegations against crypto exchanges Binance and Coinbase (COIN), Bernstein said in a research report Tuesday.

The first judicial clarity on the matter will come from the , the report said. A potential judgement on that case is expected later this year and will set the tone for the industry in the near term.

The regulator said on Monday Binance, Binance founder and CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao and the operating company for on allegations of violating federal securities laws. A day later it on similar charges.

Crypto regulation has become a “completely political debate between Republicans and Democrats,” Bernstein said.

“The intent seems to build a functional framework for digital commodities and payments stablecoins – providing the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) more regulatory authority than the SEC,” analysts Gautam Chhugani and Manas Agrawal wrote.

Given that the alleging misconduct for attracting U.S. investors to its offshore derivatives platform, it was expected the SEC would follow, alleging securities violation and therefore implying that most tokens are securities.

The U.S. regulatory action is unfortunate, but not an “existential” risk, Bernstein said.

Most capital that had to leave the cryptocurrency market is already out, and the bad news appears to be fully priced in, with both bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) trading up by around 3% after the event, the report said.

Edited by Sheldon Reback.