Bitcoin price loses its 200-day trendline for first time in 10 months
Bitcoin ( BTC ) lost more than 2% on July 4 as a key support line saw its first retest since October 2023.
BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView"Spot selling" blamed for latest BTC price rout
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView captured new local lows of $57,885 on Bitstamp after the latest daily close.
A lack of sentiment, combined with steady selling from spot markets, created unsavory conditions for Bitcoin bulls.
Data from monitoring resource CoinGlass put 24-hour BTC long liquidations at nearly $60 million at the time of writing.
BTC liquidations (screenshot). Source: CoinGlassCommenting on the latest price action, popular trader Skew noted that BTC/USD had crossed its 200-day moving average (MA) for the first time in ten months.
“So far since trend rejection reversal around $63.8K spot selling has been the main driver of this trend,” he explained in part of a post on X (formerly Twitter).
“So in order for this HTF MA to actually act as a systematic trigger for the market we need to see market demand reversal signs. Else volatility momentum pick up to the downside.”BTC/USD 1-day chart with 200MA. Source: TradingView
The 200-day MA sat at $58,400 at the time of writing, still marginally below spot price after a low-timeframe bounce.
Zooming out, trading suite DecenTrader eyed a large patch of long liquidations lying in wait closer to $50,000 should price break down further.
“*If* Bitcoin does breakdown then $51k - $52k remains the area where there is a significant amount of 3x, 5x, and 10x longs liquidity. To the upside, the shorts liquidity is at $76k-78k,” it noted .
Bitcoin liquidation map. Source: DecenTrader/XA $24 billion sell-off
Charles Edwards, founder of quantitative Bitcoin and digital asset fund Capriole Investments, meanwhile saw clear factors influencing recent downside.
Related: Was sub-$60K a bear trap? 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week
Bitcoin, he argued alongside data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, had been seeing significant sell-side pressure throughout the year. The United States spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which launched in January , had been unable to absorb the fallout.
“This is why we haven't mooned yet. Saylor, Michael Dell, ETFs. It's all noise,” he told X followers.
“When you look at the data of the 4 most important players in Bitcoin, we have net flows equivalent to $24B being dumped on the market in 2024.”Bitcoin net flows since ETF launch. Source: Charles Edwards/X
Edwards stressed that he did not see the ETFs as the “only demand” in the current market.
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