Bitcoin’s Technological Renaissance: Trillions of Dollars to Be Unleashed

Original title: The Bitcoin Renaissance: Unlocking Trillions In Value

Original author: Leeor Shimron, Forbes

Original translation: Block unicorn

An increasingly important theme in this round of crypto bull market cycle is the rise of Bitcoin L2. Bitcoin is generally regarded as the largest, most decentralized and most secure crypto asset, with more than 100 million global holders and a market value of up to $1.2 trillion.

However, as a technology platform, it also has some limitations, such as slow transaction speed (block confirmation time is about 10-30 minutes), low scalability (only about 7 transactions per second can be processed), and limited programmability (its scripting language and smart contract functions are relatively limited).

Historically, the most successful technology networks are often built and expanded in layers, which is particularly evident in the development of the Internet. The layered approach to the Internet is called the Open Systems Interconnection Model (OSI Model), which includes seven layers: physical layer, data link layer, network layer, transport layer, session layer, presentation layer, and application layer. Every time an end user accesses an email or posts a comment on a social platform, these technologies are running and interacting in the background, without the user knowing it.

OSI model outlining the layers of the Internet stack

Similarly, in response to Bitcoin’s limitations while still inheriting its valuable network security and decentralization, the Bitcoin ecosystem is actively developing Bitcoin’s second layer networks. These projects have sparked a renaissance in development and programmability, bringing decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, games, and other application scenarios that have flourished in competing blockchain ecosystems to Bitcoin.

This layered approach contrasts with integrated blockchains that attempt to provide all of a blockchain’s core functions (consensus, data availability, execution) at the base layer. Blockchains like Solana, Near, and Algorand are designed to scale and provide high-performance computing without offloading data availability or execution to other networks, unlike the “modular” approach taken by Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Total value locked (TVL) is the primary metric for measuring the growth of DeFi in a particular ecosystem. It represents capital deployed in various ways, such as lending assets to earn yield, providing liquidity in a pool, and as collateral to obtain on-chain credit. While the development of Bitcoin's second layer network has enabled DeFi use cases to flourish on Bitcoin, its growth is still limited, compared to more mature ecosystems such as Ethereum.

Currently, the total value locked (TVL) of decentralized finance (DeFi) on the leading Bitcoin second layer network is about $1.5 billion. This number may seem large, but it only accounts for 2% of Ethereum's current locked value of $81.3 billion. In addition, if you look at the ratio of TVL to network market value, Bitcoin's ratio is only 0.13%, while Ethereum's ratio is as high as 27%.

Given that there is over $1 trillion in potential value stored in Bitcoin, the leading Bitcoin Layer 2 networks have a massive market opportunity to unlock this value for a variety of financial use cases. If Bitcoin’s DeFi growth reaches comparable proportions to Ethereum, this would represent $300 billion in deployable capital at current market prices.

Base Protocols and Layer 2 Solutions

Ordinals and Runes are base protocols on Bitcoin, launched in January 2023 and April 2024, respectively. The Ordinals protocol, in particular, has sparked greater interest in Bitcoin development and is often cited as the catalyst for the start of “Bitcoin Season 2.”

Base protocols like Ordinals and Runes operate directly on Bitcoin’s base layer without changing the core protocol. They embed additional functionality into Bitcoin transactions for applications (such as NFTs and meme coins minted on a single satoshi) that can be built directly with Bitcoin’s existing scripting framework.

In contrast, Bitcoin layer 2 solutions run on independent blockchains that are anchored to Bitcoin. They typically use Bitcoin’s security to ensure finality, but provide more complex functionality through their own consensus mechanisms.

Layer 2 solutions enable smart contracts, decentralized applications (dApps), and cross-chain interactions, often with their own tokens (such as DeFi, games, social media, and other applications that require more complex logic).

Whether it is the base protocol or the layer 2 solution, both approaches aim to enhance the utility of Bitcoin by enabling new use cases and applications, which will drive increased demand for Bitcoin block space. This increase in demand will in turn increase transaction fees on Bitcoin’s base layer and is critical to maintaining Bitcoin’s security model, especially as the block subsidy decreases every four years due to halving.

Network Fees Generated by Ordinals and Inscriptions

Ordinals have caused Bitcoin’s transaction fees to surge several times over the past two years, but to date, Ordinals have not become a sustainable source of fee income for Bitcoin miners. Since the most recent fee surge during the April 2024 halving, the average daily transaction fees minted by Ordinals have fallen 98.8% from ~$2M to ~$25K today. To maintain healthy transaction fees in the long term, other Bitcoin layer-2 projects will need to make greater progress.

Low-value transactions such as micropayments, gaming, or DeFi require lower transaction fees. Only layer-2 solutions can keep transaction fees low enough to make these economic activities viable while still generating more revenue for miners. In contrast, meta-protocols inflate the state of Bitcoin, driving up transaction fees on the base layer, thereby excluding such transactions.

It is worth noting that many base protocols are not new to Bitcoin, and multiple such protocols have appeared in the Bitcoin network throughout history. Omni Layer (formerly Mastercoin) was launched in 2013 and allows the issuance of new tokens and stablecoins such as Tether. Counterparty was launched in 2014 and also allows the issuance of new tokens and decentralized applications. Rootstock was launched in 2018 and is a smart contract platform that merges mining with Bitcoin.

The Next Era of Bitcoin's Second Layer Network

In recent years, we have witnessed dozens of new projects joining the "Bitcoin Season 2" narrative and claiming to integrate Bitcoin in some way. Recent examples include Build on Bitcoin (BOB), Bitlayer, CoreDAO, Babylon, Botanix, Merlin, BEVM, Citrea, and others. These new entrants join existing pioneers like Stacks, Lightning Network, and Rootstock in advancing the space.

The ultimate goal of these projects is to enable open and permissionless applications to leverage the value of Bitcoin holders in a trust-minimized manner. For example, imagine being able to lend your Bitcoin to earn native Bitcoin yield, or use your Bitcoin as collateral to obtain credit, or mint stablecoins backed by the value of Bitcoin without having to worry about cross-chain risk or losing your Bitcoin to a second-layer network.

The key to whether a Bitcoin layer is a "true layer 2 network" is whether users can unilaterally exit while using these applications. This means that a user can bridge her Bitcoin from the Bitcoin layer 2 network back to the Bitcoin base layer without any permissions. A true Bitcoin layer 2 network also fully inherits the security of Bitcoin and benefits from the computing power generated by miners on the network.

Currently, the only protocols that can achieve unilateral exit are the Lightning Network and statechain. Other protocols such as sidechains and rollups currently have limitations in bridging and do not meet this standard. However, the proposed bridge protocol is an improvement over the status quo and paves the way for more flexible layer 2 designs.

Bitcoin layer 2 projects follow different frameworks with different trust assumptions, with the main structures being sidechains, state channels, ZK rollups, or optimistic rollups (BitVM). Here is an overview of each framework along with their trust assumptions and limitations:

· Sidechain:An independent blockchain, typically with its own token, consensus mechanism, and validator set, connected to the main blockchain to allow assets to be transferred between the two while enabling additional functionality and scalability.

· Trust Assumptions:Relies on a multi-signature contract controlled by the core team, with a centrally managed bridge between the Bitcoin base layer and the second layer solution, where the state and transaction finality of the Bitcoin base layer is verified by the sidechain rather than the Bitcoin base layer.

· State Channels:An off-chain transaction method that allows participants to conduct multiple operations privately and instantly, broadcasting only the final state to the main blockchain, thereby enhancing scalability and reducing fees, but requiring trust in cooperation between participants and protection against fraud. Typically does not have its own token or consensus mechanism.

· Trust Assumptions:It is assumed that participants will cooperate off-chain, continuously monitor the blockchain to prevent fraud, rely on sufficient liquidity and honest node operators, and trust an effective dispute resolution mechanism to close channels.

· ZK Rollup:A scaling solution that batches multiple transactions off-chain and generates concise cryptographic proofs, which are then verified on-chain to ensure correctness and security, while significantly reducing the data and computational burden on the main blockchain.

· Trust Assumptions:Due to the inability to perform ZK verification on Bitcoin, the involvement of a centralized sorter, the reliance on a decentralized network of validators to accurately verify transactions checked by the prover, and the need to publish data back to Bitcoin, rollups are limited in transaction processing capabilities.

· BitVM:Similar to optimistic rollups on Ethereum, BitVM is a conceptual framework for trustless execution by breaking down contracts into logic gates and using fraud proofs. As a new conceptual framework, BitVM has not yet been adopted by any blockchain in production, and the first solutions are expected to go live in early 2025.

· Trust Assumption:It is assumed that its trustless bridging mechanism, using basic computing units to allow fraud provers to detect inaccuracies will work effectively, but faces economic challenges because operators must match the bridged liquidity with an equal amount of collateral, making scalability difficult.

Classification of L2:

Upcoming Catalysts

Let’s take a look at several leading Bitcoin layer 2 networks and some of their upcoming developments.

Stacks is a leading Bitcoin layer-2 network that first launched its mainnet in January 2021, allowing the creation of smart contracts pegged to Bitcoin. Stacks supports a growing ecosystem of dApps, DeFi platforms, NFTs, and other blockchain-based applications, all secured by Bitcoin's underlying network.

Stacks' DeFi ecosystem has been growing steadily, including core protocols such as the Liquid Staking Protocol (Stacking DAO), lending marketplaces (Zest Protocol), decentralized exchanges (Bitflow, Velar), and crypto-backed stablecoins (Arkadiko, Hermetica, BSD).

Stacks is unique in its Proof of Transfer (PoX) consensus mechanism. Stacks miners compete for the right to mine new Stacks blocks by consuming Bitcoin and are rewarded with STX. STX holders can also participate by locking their STX tokens and receiving BTC rewards. Historically, STX token holders who participate in consensus have seen an annualized return of about 8%.

Stacks Proof of Transfer (PoX) consensus mechanism diagram

Stacks is about to undergo a major upgrade called the Nakamoto Upgrade, which will bring several improvements to the protocol. The upgrade, expected on August 28, aims to bring true Bitcoin finality to Stacks transactions. This means that once a Stacks transaction is confirmed and anchored to the Bitcoin blockchain, it will gain the same security and immutability as Bitcoin transactions.

The upgrade will also strengthen the integration between Stacks and Bitcoin, ensuring that any reorganization of Stacks blocks will require a reorganization of Bitcoin blocks, significantly increasing the security of Stacks transactions.

In addition, the upgrade introduces sBTC, a Bitcoin-equivalent token on the Stacks network that will be backed one-to-one by BTC. This enables users to use Bitcoin directly in the Stacks ecosystem, enabling more seamless integration with Bitcoin liquidity and enhancing the utility of BTC in smart contracts and dApps.

These features make Stacks, especially after the Satoshi upgrade, a purer Bitcoin layer-2 solution than many other projects by more fully leveraging Bitcoin’s security, economic model, and decentralized features.

Build on Bitcoin (BOB) and Botanix are two other leading Bitcoin layer-2 projects that have taken a different approach than Stacks. BOB is the first hybrid layer-2 network powered by both Bitcoin and Ethereum. BOB’s rollup ecosystem aims to leverage the security of Bitcoin while giving users access to all the features provided by the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), such as on- and off-ramps, stablecoins, NFTs, DeFi, and more.

BOB has completed the first phase of its roadmap, which includes launching optimistic ETH rollups using the Optimism (OP) framework. Settlements occur on Ethereum Layer 1, while BOB tracks the state of Bitcoin via a Bitcoin light client, enabling cross-chain swaps and contracts to be executed between Ethereum and Bitcoin.

Phase 1 was launched on May 1, supporting Sovryn DEX, LayerBank lending marketplace, and Velodrome DEX, among others. Future phases will introduce Bitcoin Proof-of-Work security to ETH rollups, and ultimately BOB’s roadmap will culminate with its own BitVM rollup implementation.

Alexei Zamyatin, co-founder of BOB, said: "BOB is already live on the mainnet and has a growing ecosystem. We work closely with the team to prioritize solving product problems rather than talking about cool technology or driving up the total locked volume (TVL) through unsustainable incentives."

"We bring new technologies on Ethereum to Bitcoin, including intentions (BOB Gateway, one-click BTC deployment) and smart accounts (BOB Pay, send BTC via email or Telegram without a wallet). Through BOB Gateway, BOB is the easiest way from BTC to wrapped BTC, BTC liquid staking tokens, and the upcoming BTC yield position."

Botanix Labs aims to build the first fully decentralized EVM equivalent layer 2 network on Bitcoin. Leveraging Bitcoin as a base layer for settlement and decentralization, Botanix will use a proof-of-stake consensus model where stake (expressed in Bitcoin) will be securely stored on Spiderchain, a decentralized distributed network of multi-signature contracts secured by a random subset of participants.

Willem, founder of Botanix Labs, said: "Botanix runs entirely on Bitcoin, which means it is not connected to any other chain and gas fees are paid in Bitcoin. It differs from rollups in that there will be a decentralized sorter consisting of 15 different node operators on day one, while rollups use a more centralized single operator model. Botanix will have extremely low gas fees and censorship resistance."

Botanix launched its testnet in November 2023 and currently has over 200,000 active addresses. Although its mainnet is not yet live, users can still interact through Botanix's testnet, allowing users to connect wallets, receive funds, and move in and out of the Botanix network. The mainnet is expected to go live in September, and announced partners include Frax, Vertex, Kiln, and Supra Oracles.

Both BOB and Botanix utilize the EVM to enable the creation and execution of smart contracts. This ensures compatibility with development tools and infrastructure already built on Ethereum, such as wallets, block explorers, data analysis tools, and consumer applications. This allows developers, tools, and applications to be easily ported to their respective ecosystems.

In contrast, Stacks developed the Clarity Virtual Machine and took a first-principles approach to growing its developer community. This has a higher learning curve for blockchain developers, but can more easily attract developers who are already familiar with Web 2.0-friendly technologies. It remains to be seen which approach will better encourage developer adoption in the long run.

The Future is Bitcoin

The emergence of Bitcoin's second-layer network marks an important evolution in the blockchain ecosystem. These solutions aim to address Bitcoin's inherent limitations by leveraging Bitcoin's strong security and decentralization while enabling a wide range of applications and enhanced functionality.

The co-development of Bitcoin's second-layer network and meta-protocol represents a promising path to unlocking the enormous value inherent in Bitcoin, potentially transforming it into a more diverse and powerful financial platform.

As these projects continue to mature and integrate seamlessly with Bitcoin, they are expected to drive major advances in the crypto space, making Bitcoin more scalable, programmable, and able to support a variety of use cases.

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