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Review of Multicoin Interview "Why is ETH Down So Bad?": From Ethereum's Vision, Development Roadmap to Current Issues

马里奥看Web32024/09/03 03:44
By:马里奥看Web3
Abstract : I read an interview with Bankless and Multicoin last Sunday titled "Why is ETH Down so Bad?" I found it very exciting and profound, and I suggest everyone to read it. Ryan fully demonstrated the difference between Web3 pragmatism and fundamentalism in the interview, but I have already discussed this in detail in previous articles. In addition, this perspective also touched me deeply. Indeed, in recent times, Ethereum has begun to suffer from a certain degree of FUD. I think the direct reason is that the adoption of ETH ETF did not trigger a similar market trend as BTC ETF did, which has caused some people to rethink the vision and development direction of Ethereum. Regarding these issues, I also have some thoughts and hope to share them with you. Generally speaking, I approve of Ethereum as a social experiment, hoping to create a decentralized, authoritative, and even trustless "cyber immigrant country" vision, as well as its L2 expansion direction based on Rollup. The real problems faced by Ethereum are twofold. One is that Restaking's competition for L2 expansion solutions dilutes the resources of ecological development and reduces the value capture ability of ETH. The other is that Ethereum's Key Opinion Leaders are becoming aristocratic, lacking enthusiasm for ecological construction due to cherishing feathers.
 
Evaluating the success or failure of Ethereum solely from a market value perspective is one-sided
 
First of all, I would like to talk about the differences in vision between Ethereum and Solana from the perspective of values, and refute why evaluating Ethereum solely from the perspective of market value is one-sided. I don't know how many of you are familiar with the background of the birth of Ethereum and Solana, so here is a brief review. In fact, Ethereum did not have the fundamentalism it has today when it was first born. In 2013, Vitalik, one of the core contributors to the Bitcoin ecosystem, released the Ethereum white paper, which also marked the birth of Ethereum. The main narrative of the industry at that time was "blockchain 2.0". I don't know how many of you still remember this concept. In fact, it specifically refers to the establishment of a programmable execution environment based on the decentralized features provided by blockchain to expand potential application scenarios. At that time, the Ethereum core team had five other core members besides Vitalik.
 
L Mihai Alisie : He co-founded Bitcoin Magazine with Vitalik.
 
L Anthony Di Iorio : Early Bitcoin investor and advocate, assisted in the early promotion and financing of Ethereum.
 
L Charles Hoskinson : One of the early core developers who later founded Cardano.
 
L Gavin Wood : Author of the Ethereum Yellow Book (technical white paper), designed the Ethereum programming language Solidity, and later founded Polkadot.
 
L Joseph Lubin : He provided significant financial support to Ethereum and later founded ConsenSys, a well-known enterprise in the Ethereum ecosystem.
 
Ethereum conducted public financing through ICO in mid-2014. In this financing event, about 31,000 bitcoins were raised within 42 days, with a value of about $18 million at the time. This was one of the largest crowds of funding at the time, and Ethereum's core vision was to create a decentralized global computer platform that could run smart contracts and decentralized applications (DApps) of any complexity. The platform aimed to provide developers with a universal, borderless programming environment that was not controlled by a single entity or government. However, in subsequent developments, there were differences in values among the core team on how to build Ethereum.
 
L Differences in governance model : There are different opinions within the team on the governance model of Ethereum. Vitalik Buterin prefers a decentralized governance structure, while members such as Charles Hoskinson (who later founded Cardano) advocate a more monetized and centralized governance model. They hope that Ethereum can introduce more enterprise management experience and business models, rather than relying solely on self-governance of the open source community.
 
L Differences in technical direction : Team members also have differences in technical development direction. For example, Gavin Wood proposed his ideas on technical architecture and programming language during the development of Ethereum, and wrote the yellow paper (technical white paper) of Ethereum. However, over time, Gavin developed different views on the technical development direction of Ethereum. Eventually, he chose to leave Ethereum and founded Polkadot, a blockchain project that focuses more on interoperability and on-chain governance.
 
Differences in monetization path: There are also differences among team members on how to implement monetization of Ethereum. Some members believe that Ethereum should focus more on enterprise-level applications and partnerships, while others insist that Ethereum should maintain an open, borderless, and decentralized developer platform.
 
After a political struggle, the cryptocurrency fundamentalist side represented by Vitalik won, while the other pragmatic side that valued the use of blockchain technology to promote the integration and monetization of traditional industries left Ethereum and established their own products. The difference at that time was actually the difference in values between Ethereum and Solana reflected in this interview, except that the protagonist of the story was replaced by a better Solana combined with traditional finance.
 
Since then, Vitalik has become the actual guide of the Ethereum industry. The so-called fundamentalism refers to creating a censorship-resistant "cyber immigrant society" by providing a decentralized online execution environment as a distributed "cyber council". Users can meet all their network life needs through various DAPPs built on the Ethereum ecosystem, and thus get rid of their dependence on authoritative organizations, including oligarchic technology companies and even sovereign states.
 
Under this vision, we can see that Vitalik's subsequent efforts mainly focus on two aspects.
 
In terms of application, we should consider and encourage more non-financial usage scenarios, so that this decentralized system can accumulate more dimensions of user data, promote the creation of richer and more sticky products, and achieve the goal of improving the penetration rate of Ethereum for ordinary people's online life. Among them, we can easily find some well-known themes, such as DAO with distributed collaboration as the goal, NFT with cultural value, SBT aimed at accumulating more diverse non-financial user data, and the so-called prediction market serving as a social cognitive tool in the real world.
 
In terms of technology, while ensuring decentralization and trustlessness, we use cryptography and other means to improve the execution efficiency of the network as much as possible. This is the expansion direction from Sharding to Rollup-L2 advocated by Vitalik in technology. By offloading the execution process of "recalculation" to L2 or even L3, L1 is only responsible for handling important consensus tasks, thereby reducing user usage costs and improving execution efficiency.
 
For projects like Solana that focus more on leveraging the practicality of blockchain to expand traditional financial businesses, there are many things to consider, such as how to improve their Price-To-Earnings Ratio as a profit-oriented Listed Company. As for whether to adhere to values such as trust, it depends on the potential profit behind this narrative. Therefore, Solana will not have too much burden and resistance in promoting the combination with CeFi products, and holds a more open and inclusive attitude. With the entry of Wall Street capital, the influence of traditional finance on the crypto world has increased dramatically, and Solana is one of the core beneficiaries of this trend, or it is not an exaggeration to say that Solana is the evangelist behind it. As a profitable company, it is natural to have a customer-oriented mindset, which is why Solana places more emphasis on user experience.
 
After sorting out these threads, let's consider an interesting question: whether Ethereum and Solana are competing products. In some ways, the answer is yes, specifically referring to providing cryptocurrency-based Financial Services without regional restrictions and around the clock. In this regard, Ethereum's security and system robustness are better than Solana's, at least there will be no frequent downtimes. However, User Experience has indeed become a problem at this stage, with numerous L2 sidechains confusing many new users, and they face significant financial risks and psychological pressure when using fund bridges.
 
However, in the dimension of cultural attributes as a "cyber immigrant society", Ethereum has uniqueness. For such a non-profit, public welfare, humanistic public good, simply evaluating its value from the perspective of market value seems somewhat one-sided. This process can be understood as a subcultural community enriching its governance function through certain technological means, and then forming a sovereign state relying on the Internet. The core of the entire construction process is to firmly establish a universal value, which is to ensure the anti-censorship characteristics brought by decentralization. This is a concept, a belief. This is also why Ryan said that the Ethereum community has a "human advantage". It is precisely because as the cultural product with the highest added value in human history, it can fully mobilize people's enthusiasm. Only by doing things from a utilitarian perspective can we achieve this kind of cold start success, which is consistent with the process of any political revolution. Imagine if you only evaluate the US at the beginning of independence based on output value, it would be absurd. The establishment of a country obviously takes much longer than that of a company, and the difficulties encountered are also much greater, but the benefits after achievement cannot be measured by a company.
 
L2 and L1 are not in a competitive relationship but in a master-slave relationship, which will not dilute Ethereum's value capture ability because the legitimacy of L2 comes from L1.
 
The second point I want to refute is that Ryan's core point of questioning Ethereum is that he believes L2 is an outsourcing strategy that will dilute the value capture ability of Ethereum L1. At the same time, when L2 develops to a certain extent, it will compete with L1 and lead to cooperation breakdown.
 
On the contrary, I believe that the current development path of Ethereum based on Roll-Up L2 is a completely correct choice. As a low-cost and high-efficiency technical solution, L2 can not only effectively expand the potential application scenarios of the Ethereum ecosystem, but also reduce data redundancy in the network without sacrificing the degree of decentralization. To some extent, this is also a relatively environmentally friendly technical solution. It can also help Ethereum actively explore some boundary scenarios in an environment that reduces single-point risks, such as cooperation with CeFi or innovation in anonymous projects, which can be operated with the help of L2, thus achieving the effect of risk isolation.
 
Firstly, regarding the description of L2 as execution outsourcing, I don't think it's very appropriate. In traditional business training, we can easily understand the pros and cons of execution outsourcing. By separating some low-profit-margin businesses from the Main Business and outsourcing them to third-party companies, the company can focus more on high-value-added businesses and reduce enterprise management costs. However, the disadvantage is the loss of iterative ability of related technologies, and outsourcing costs will be raised in an uncontrollable way. TSMC's relative development history of the semiconductor industry in the United States and Japan can well illustrate this point.
 
However, L2 cannot be understood in such a simple way. In fact, I think it is more reasonable to compare L2 to the "colonial system" of Ethereum L1. The biggest difference between the two lies in the content of the contractual relationship between the two parties, as well as the binding force of their contracts, that is, the different sources of legitimacy behind them. First of all, we know that L2 does not undertake the consensus task of transactions, but relies on L1 to endow finality through technical means such as "optimistic solutions" or "ZK solutions". L2 acts more as an executor or agent of L1 in certain segmented fields. This is a subordinate relationship similar to the colonial system.
 
You can understand it as the British Indian system established by the British Empire in the Indian subcontinent, which was responsible for handling the taxation and management of colonial areas by appointing a bureaucratic system such as governors and supporting local ethnic groups as full agents. We know that there are two ways for the suzerain to profit from the colony. The first is to control the international trade of the colony through exclusive trade laws and affect its economic structure, such as promoting tobacco and other raw material industries in the North American colonies, and exclusively allowing trade between the colony and the suzerain. This way, profits are obtained through added value difference through industrial capacity. The second is relatively simple, which is to establish a tax system in the colony, directly levy taxes and transfer some to the suzerain, which usually relies on a strong suzerain garrison to maintain the stability of the rule.
 
 
L2 acts as a value capture agent for Ethereum in various fields. There are two ways for Ethereum to benefit from this system. Firstly, in order to obtain security, L2 needs to conduct final confirmation on L1, which requires ETH as the payment target. This creates a usage scenario for ETH, similar to a "final" tax levied by L1 from L2, or it can also be understood as a reward for L1's security guarantee. Secondly, due to the master-slave relationship between the two parties, ETH is more likely to be used as a value storage target by users in L2 compared to other assets, thus achieving a similar effect to seigniorage tax. Imagine in a lending agreement in L2, you will find that ETH has the highest collateral value.
 
The reason why this master-slave relationship is not easy to break, that is, the reason why L2 will not form a competitive relationship with L1 and lead to cooperation breakdown, is that the legitimacy of L2 comes from the ultimate provided by L1, just like the legitimacy of the colonial system comes from the military support of the suzerain. Breaking away from this cooperative relationship will make L2 lose its legitimacy, which will lead to the collapse of the overall business logic, because most of your users use you because you are provided with legitimacy by L1.
 
There are currently two problems encountered by Ethereum: ReStaking's vampire attack on the L2 development path and the Ethereum system's Key Opinion Leader becoming aristocratic
 
After discussing the above two arguments, I would like to talk about the real problems encountered in the current development of Ethereum. I think there are two core issues:
 
ReStaking is a vampire attack on the L2 development path.
 
Ethereum's Key Opinion Leaders are becoming aristocratic.
 
In my previous article, I have already introduced the vision and development direction of EigenLayer in detail. I have a high opinion of EigenLayer, but when I look at this project from the perspective of the Ethereum ecosystem, I will find that it is simply a "vampire attack", which has squeezed a large amount of resources that should have been guided to L2 construction and diluted them into the ReStaking track. However, at the same time, ReStaking fundamentally makes ETH lose its ability to capture value.
 
How to understand it? I just talked about how Ethereum obtains profits from L2. You will find that the same logic cannot be used to reuse the Restaking track. As another scaling solution, ReStaking and L2 are in principle in a competitive relationship. However, ReStaking only simply reuses Ethereum's consensus ability, but cannot establish enough incentive models to stimulate ReStaking builders to actively explore more usage scenarios. The core reason is that L2 operators use L1 consensus at a cost, and this cost is a fixed cost that does not affect the activity level of L2. Since ETH is needed as the final payment target, L2 operators need to actively build and explore in order to maintain a balance of income and expenditure and seek higher profits. However, for ReStaking, the consensus to reuse L1 is costless because they only need to pay a simple bribe to the Staker on L1, which can even be a future expectation. Think back to the Point farce, which I have analyzed in detail in my previous article. In addition, ReStaking assetizes consensus capabilities, allowing potential buyers to dynamically choose the cost of purchasing consensus services based on current needs. This allows potential buyers to use Ethereum's consensus services with targeted use, which is a good thing for buyers, but for Ethereum, it also loses the mandatory nature of L2.
 
With ReStaking and its derivative tracks attracting a large amount of capital and resources, the development of L2 has come to a standstill. This has caused resources in the ecosystem to be wasted on reinventing the wheel or creating square wheels. No one has thought about how to create richer applications and capture more revenue, but only indulged in the capital game brought by storytelling. This is really a mistake. Of course, from the perspective of EigenLayer, the mentality will undergo a 180-degree turn. I still admire the team's clever capture of the value of the commons!
 
In addition, another issue that worries me more is that the Ethereum system Key Opinion Leaders are becoming aristocratic. You can find a phenomenon that the Ethereum ecosystem lacks active opinion leaders like Solana, AVAX, and even the Luna ecosystem at that time. Even though they seem to be the creators of FOMO, there is no doubt that this is a good thing for community cohesion and the confidence of entrepreneurial teams. I do not agree with Ryan's historical perspective, but I do admit that the opportunity for historical progress cannot be separated from the efforts of individual geniuses. However, in the Ethereum ecosystem, it is difficult to think of other opinion leaders except Vitalik, which is naturally related to the split of the founding team. However, it is also related to the lack of liquidity in the ecological class. A large amount of ecological growth income is monopolized by early participants. Yes, imagine that you have completed a fundraising of 31,000 BTC, which is worth more than 2 billion US dollars at the current market value. Even if you do nothing, it is OK, let alone the success on Ethereum, which has created more wealth than this number. Therefore, for those early participants who should be opinion leaders, it is more attractive to start a conservative strategy and stick to it than to expand. In order to avoid risks, they have become more cautious and conservative in promoting ecological construction, which is understandable. The simplest way is to ensure the status of AAVE, and then lend a large amount of ETH you hold to leveraged demanders to earn considerable stable returns. So why do you need to incentivize other new products?
 
The reason why it has become the current situation, I think, is closely related to Vitalik's style. For Vitalik, I think he is better at being a religious leader and has constructive designs on some metaphysical issues such as value design. However, as a manager, he does not seem to be enthusiastic about this. This is also why the development efficiency of Ethereum is so slow. An interesting joke is that when the Ethereum community first designed the technical solution for Sharding, domestic public chains had already been divided. This is naturally related to Vitalik's management style. You may say that this is a problem that must be faced due to the pursuit of decentralization and non-profit. But I think for this ecosystem, Vitalik has the obligation to actively solve this problem.
 
However, no matter what, I am full of confidence in the development of Ethereum, because I recognize the public welfare and revolutionary vision behind this group of people. It was Ethereum and the people behind it that allowed me to enter this industry, establish my own industry awareness, and even have my current values. Even though I am currently facing some resistance, as an older youth, I think it is not so bad to pursue some ideals other than money!
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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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