Price analysis 10/7: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, XRP, DOGE, TON, ADA
Bitcoin ( BTC ) picked up momentum after crossing above $62,000 and is closing in on the $65,000 overhead resistance. According to the New York Digital Investment Group, Bitcoin remains the best-performing asset for the year despite the “seasonally weak” third quarter.
Bitcoin has been sideways for several months but that has not stopped the Japanese investment company Metaplanet from building up its stockpile. The firm announced on Oct. 7 that it had acquired 108.78 Bitcoin at an average price of about $63,600, taking its total to almost 640 Bitcoin.
Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360
However, not everyone is bullish on Bitcoin in the short term. CoinShares said in its latest Digital Asset Fund Flows Weekly Report on Oct. 7 that digital investment products witnessed $147 million in outflows last week .
CoinShares believes the stronger-than-expected economic data “reduced the probabilities for significant rate cuts” in the near future, and that could be the reason for the strong outflows.
Could Bitcoin’s strength attract buyers into altcoins? Let’s analyze the charts to find out.
S&P 500 Index price analysis
The S&P 500 Index successfully held the retest of the breakout level of 5,670, indicating that the sentiment remains positive, and traders are buying on dips.
SPX daily chart. Source: TradingView
If buyers thrust the price above 5,768, it will signal the resumption of the uptrend. The index could rally to the psychologically important level of 6,000, where the bears may mount a strong defense.
This optimistic view will be negated in the near term if the price turns down sharply and breaks below 5,670. That will be the first sign of profit-booking by the bulls. The selling could intensify on a drop below the 50-day simple moving average (5,559).
US Dollar Index price analysis
The US Dollar Index (DXY) made a strong comeback last week, and the recovery accelerated after buyers pushed the price above the 20-day exponential moving average (101.40) on Oct. 1.
DXY daily chart. Source: TradingView
The 20-day EMA has started to turn up, and the relative strength index (RSI) has risen into the positive territory, indicating that the momentum has turned positive. However, sellers are unlikely to give up easily and will try to pull the price lower. The bears will have to yank the price below the 20-day EMA to halt the recovery.
On the contrary, if the price rebounds off 102, it will signal that the bulls have flipped the level into support. The index could then rally to 103.50.
Bitcoin price analysis
Bitcoin cleared the 20-day EMA ($62,382) hurdle on Oct. 6, indicating that the bulls are on a comeback.
BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The BTC/USDT pair could rise to $65,000 and thereafter to $66,500. Sellers will try to defend this zone, but if the bulls have their way, the pair could rally to $70,000. Buyers may struggle to overcome the zone between $70,000 and $73,777.
The essential support levels to watch on the downside are the 20-day EMA and the 50-day SMA ($60,696). A break and close below $60,000 will signal that the bulls are losing their grip. The pair could then descend to $57,500.
Ether price analysis
Ether ( ETH ) has been consolidating inside the symmetrical triangle pattern for the past few days, indicating indecision between the buyers and sellers.
ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
If the price rises above the moving averages, the ETH/USDT pair could climb to the resistance line. This is an essential level for the bears to defend because a break above it could propel the pair to $3,400. There is resistance at $2,850, but it is likely to be crossed.
On the contrary, if the price turns down sharply from the resistance line, it will signal that the pair may remain stuck inside the triangle for a while. The bears will have to sink the price below the uptrend line to start the next leg of the downtrend.
BNB price analysis
BNB ( BNB ) has been trading inside the large range between $460 and $635 for the past several days, indicating a tough battle between the bulls and the bears.
BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
If the price remains above the 20-day EMA ($566), the BNB/USDT pair could rally to the overhead resistance of $635. The bears are expected to defend this level with all their might. If the price turns down from $635 and breaks below the moving averages, the pair may remain inside the range for a while longer.
Alternatively, if bulls propel the price above $635, it will indicate the start of a new up move. The pair could then soar to $722.
Solana price analysis
The bulls pushed Solana ( SOL ) above the 20-day EMA ($145) on Oct. 6, signaling demand at lower levels.
SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The SOL/USDT pair could rise to $164, which is an important level to watch out for. If bulls push the price above $164, the pair will complete an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern. That could start a rally to the target objective of $208.
This positive view will be invalidated if the price turns down from the current level or the overhead resistance and breaks below the moving averages. That could extend the stay inside the $116 to $164 range for some more time.
XRP price analysis
XRP ( XRP ) has been stuck in the upper half of the $0.41 to $0.64 range for the past few days, indicating that the bulls are buying on dips.
XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bulls are trying to start a recovery from $0.50, which could face selling at the 20-day EMA ($0.56). If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, the likelihood of a break below $0.50 increases. The XRP/USDT pair could slump to the support of the range at $0.46.
Contrarily, if bulls push the price above the moving averages, the pair could attempt a rally to $0.64. This remains the critical level to watch out for in the near term. If bulls pierce this resistance, the pair may surge to $0.74.
Related: Here’s what happened in crypto today
Dogecoin price analysis
Dogecoin ( DOGE ) has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern, signaling uncertainty about the next trending move.
DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
Generally, inside the triangle, the price swings between the resistance line and the support line. A break above the 20-day EMA ($0.11) opens the door for a rise to the resistance line, where bears are expected to sell aggressively. However, if bulls overcome this barrier, the DOGE/USDT pair could start a new uptrend to $0.14 and subsequently to $0.18.
Sellers will have to yank the price below the support line to start the next leg of the downtrend to $0.08 and then $0.06.
Toncoin price analysis
Toncoin ( TON ) has been trading below the moving averages, but the bears have failed to sink the price to the $4.72 support. This suggests that selling dries up at lower levels.
TON/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
Buyers will try to push the price above the moving averages and start a recovery. If they can pull it off, the TON/USDT pair is likely to attempt a rally to $7. There is resistance at $6, but it is expected to be crossed.
Instead, if the price turns down from the moving averages and breaks below $5.10, it will indicate that bears remain in control. The pair could then slump to the $4.72 to $4.44 support zone.
Cardano price analysis
Cardano ( ADA ) has been trading between $0.31 and $0.40 for several days, indicating that the bulls are trying to form a base.
ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
If buyers push the price above the moving averages, the ADA/USDT pair could rise to the overhead resistance of $0.40. This is an important level to watch out for because a break above it will suggest the start of a new up move. The pair may rally to $0.45 and thereafter to $0.49.
Contrarily, if the price turns down from the overhead resistance and breaks below the moving averages, it will suggest that the pair may remain inside the range for a few more days.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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