• Bitcoin historically peaks 518-546 days after halving events, with the next peak predicted in mid-2025.
  • Bitcoin is currently 35 days ahead of its typical cycle, signaling potential acceleration.
  • 2025 could mirror the 2016 post-halving cycle, but external factors may influence outcomes.

Now, it is time for an explanation of the cyclic nature of the price change – and the most important four-year intervals called the ‘halving-cycle’. The next Bitcoin halving is expected to occur in 2024; Bitcoin experienced a high at 518 to 546 days following each halving event in history. It also used to have an equation to predict the potential of Bitcoins in the value of the future cycle.

Bitcoin’s Historical Post-Halving Patterns

Around previous cycles, the BTC price was increasing step by step after each halving. Following the 2016 halving, the cryptocurrency reached its highest point 518 days post halving, unlike the 2020 halving which was 546 days post event. This range is based on history, and current experts are assuming they might see the next bull market top sometime between mid-September to mid-October of calendar year 2025. If Bitcoin is to follow this, it would mean that it is some 1.5 years after the expected halving in April 2024.

#BTC

In the 2015-2017 cycle, Bitcoin peaked 518 days after the Halving

In the 2019-2021 cycle, Bitcoin peaked 546 days after the Halving

If history repeats and the next Bull Market peak occurs 518-546 days after the Halving…

That would mean Bitcoin could peak in this cycle… pic.twitter.com/fKsKkfTZex

— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) October 24, 2024

Current Bitcoin Cycle and What to Expect in 2025

For bitcoin, it seems to be gathering momentum within the current cycle, at 35 days ahead of the historical trend. This acceleration is important because the longer Bitcoin remains within the range after the halving event the closer the current cycle might get to the traditional post halving markets. Consolidation at this point is usually taken as a bullish sign meaning that the market is preparing to rebound to an increased price level.

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If history repeats this year will be a post halving accumulation phase and if so 2025 could look a lot like 2016. These are forecast figures deriving from previous results and it is clear that events outside the company boundaries like market conditions, changes in regulations and laws or general macroeconomic principles of the global economy cannot but have an impact on the next round. Both analysts and investors will be keeping a close attention to the event as precedent does not equal promise for Bitcoin price.

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